Tensions between Iran and the US are escalating over control of a key waterway. The reality of the situation is more complex than either side is willing to admit. Maritime traffic remains heavily restricted, indicating that many shipowners are wary of potential Iranian attacks. This highlights the influence Teherán still wields.

Fewer vessels are crossing the waterway, with numbers often in the low double digits. In contrast, around 130 daily transits were recorded before the current conflict began. For oil tankers, only two or three very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, are passing through on average. Further details on the situation are available from the source.